Distribution feature of time series of extreme precipitation over the Yangtze River Basin
Author:
Affiliation:

Clc Number:

Fund Project:

  • Article
  • |
  • Figures
  • |
  • Metrics
  • |
  • Reference
  • |
  • Similar Literature
  • |
  • Cited by
  • |
  • Appendix
  • |
  • Comments
    Abstract:

    Based on daily precipitation data of 147 stations in the Yangtze River Basin during the flood season (April to September)for 1960-2005, extreme high precipitation (percentile >95th) and its time gap, days with precipitation <1.27mm/d and its durationwere calculated. Accordingly, spatial distributions and temporal sequences of extreme precipitation events had been analyzed, and theprobability model was established. Research results showed that Sichuan Basin in the upper reaches and southeastern Lake PoyangCatchment in the mid-lower reaches were the high precipitation center of the Yangtze River Basin with centralized extreme event.Total number of days with precipitation <1.27mm/d is more in the mainstream section, Minjiang-Tuojiang Catchment and upperWujiang Catchment than any other area of the Yangtze River Basin. However, due to shorter lasting period of events with < 1.27mm/d,it did not create serious drought situation in theses areas. Whereas, areas in the upper and lower Jinshajiang(upper reaches of theYangtze River) Catchment, Lake Dongting Catchment, southeastern Lake Poyang Catchment, and lower main stream section, weremore likely to be stricken by prolonged events with <1.27mm/d and droughts caused. By applying Weibull model with the method ofmaximum likelihood estimator on the time gap of extreme high precipitation and lasting period of <1.27mm/d, it was proved thatWeibull-Ⅱ can simulate well the probability distribution of timing of extreme precipitation events over the Yangtze River Basin.Changes of Weibull-Ⅱ parameter can reflect well the spatial and temporal variation of timing of extreme precipitation events.

    Reference
    Related
    Cited by
Get Citation

苏布达,姜彤.长江流域降水极值时间序列的分布特征[J]. Journal of Lake Sciences,2008,20(1):123-128.

Copy
Share
Article Metrics
  • Abstract:
  • PDF:
  • HTML:
  • Cited by:
History
  • Received:January 20,2007
  • Revised:April 10,2007
  • Adopted:
  • Online: March 23,2015
  • Published:
You are the first    Visitors
Address:No.299, Chuangzhan Road, Qilin Street, Jiangning District, Nanjing, China    Postal Code:211135
Phone:025-86882041;86882040     Fax:025-57714759     Email:jlakes@niglas.ac.cn
Copyright © Lake Science, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Lake Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences:All Rights Reserved
Technical Support:Beijing Qinyun Technology Development Co., Ltd.

Su Gongwang Security No. 11040202500063

     苏ICP备09024011号-2