2010-2023年江汉平原四湖总干渠水量水质特征及其对农业种养模式变化的响应
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1:长江科学院,武汉 430010 ;2:长江科学院,流域水资源与生态环境科学湖北省重点实验室,武汉 430010 ;3:武汉大学, 水资源工程与调度全国重点实验室,武汉 430072

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国家自然科学基金区域创新发展联合基金项目(U21A20156)和国家自然科学基金长江水科学研究联合基金项目(U2340219)联合资助


The water quantity and quality characteristics of Four Lakes Main Channel and its response to the changes in agricultural cropping-breeding mode in Jianghan Plain, 2010-2023
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1:Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute, Wuhan 430010 , P.R.China ;2:Hubei Provincial Key Lab of Basin Water Resource and Eco-Environmental Science, Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute, Wuhan 430010 , P.R.China ;3:State Key Laboratory of Water Resources Engineering and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072 , P.R.China

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    摘要:

    为探究农业种养模式变化对平原水网区河湖水量水质的影响,以江汉平原四湖总干渠为研究对象,基于2010-2023年观测数据分析了年际年内水量水质变化特征,利用遥感影像、统计年鉴等数据识别了不同土地利用类型的年际变化,并探究了近10年不同类型氮磷污染负荷的变化趋势,运用冗余分析(RDA)和相关性热图(correlation)重点探讨了农业种养模式变化下总干渠水量水质的响应规律。结果表明:①2010-2023年,四湖总干渠水体总氮、总磷浓度在年际上呈现出先增加再减小后趋于稳定的变化趋势,年内表现为冬春季低、夏秋季高的特征,而在空间上则表现为出入渠口低、中间高;总干渠年内排水量主要集中在4-9月,约占全年的65.7%。②近10年,四湖流域农业种养模式变化显著,主要表现为旱地耕作面积缩减约15%,稻田种养面积增加约19%,淡水养殖面积在2010-2016年增加了约2%,而在2016-2022年缩减了4%以上。③四湖总干渠水量变化特征除受降雨量影响外,还与流域内不同土地利用类型的降雨径流量变化相关,其中水田和旱地是主要影响因素,其贡献分别占总水量变化的366%和-236%。④近10年,四湖总干渠总氮、总磷浓度与流域内氮磷污染负荷呈显著正相关(解释度为79.7%),而引起流域内氮磷污染负荷变化的主要影响因素是淡水养殖和畜禽养殖;此外,稻田种养对氮磷负荷的贡献近10年从6%增至26%,氮磷污染负荷占比逐渐凸显,未来水环境污染风险不容忽视。

    Abstract:

    To explore the impact of changes in agricultural cropping-breeding mode(ACBM) on river water quantity and quality, the Four Lakes Main Channel(FLMC) in the Jianghan Plain was taken as the research object. Based on observation data from 2010 to 2023, the trend of annual water quantity and quality changes was analyzed. Remote sensing images and statistical yearbook data were used to identify the interannual area change characteristics of different land use types and the trends of nitrogen and phosphorus point source load over nearly 10 years. Redundancy analysis (RDA) and correlation heat map were applied to explore the response of the main channels nitrogen and phosphorus concentration to the changes. The results indicated that: ① From 2010 to 2023, the concentration of total nitrogen and total phosphorus in FLMC exhibited an inter-annual pattern of “increase-decrease-stabilization”. The annual performance was lower in winter and spring, and higher in summer and autumn. Spatially, the concentrations were lower at the inlet and outlet and higher in the central reach. The annual displacement of the total trunk canal is mainly concentrated between April and September, accounting for 65.7% of the annual total. ② Over the past decade, the ACBM in the Sihu Basin has changed significantly. The dry land cultivation area decreased by about 15%, and paddy field area increased by about 19%. The freshwater aquaculture area increased by about 2% from 2010 to 2016, and decreased by more than 4% from 2016 to 2022. ③The variation characteristics of the total water quantity in the FLMC were not only affected by rainfall, but also related to the variation of rainfall-runoff of different land use types in the basin, among which paddy field and dry land were the main contributors, accounting for 366% and -236% of the total water quantity variation, respectively. ④ Over the recent 10 years, the concentration of total nitrogen and total phosphorus in the FLMC were positively correlated with the pollution loads (79.7% interpretation), and the main factors that caused the changes of N and P pollution loads in the basin were freshwater breeding and livestock breeding. In addition, the contribution of paddy cultivation to N and P loads increased from 6% to 26% in nearly 10 years, and the proportion of N and P loads gradually became prominent. This trend suggests that the risk of water environment pollution in the future cannot be ignored.

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胡艳平,王振华,邵东国,龙萌,宋柯峥,翟文亮.2010-2023年江汉平原四湖总干渠水量水质特征及其对农业种养模式变化的响应.湖泊科学,2025,37(6):2009-2023. DOI:10.18307/2025.0622

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  • 收稿日期:2024-11-04
  • 最后修改日期:2025-02-07
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-11-03
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