1992-2023年白洋淀水质变化特征及影响因素分析
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1:中国环境科学研究院,环境基准与风险评估国家重点实验室,北京 100012 ;2:中国环境科学研究院,湖泊水污染治理与生态修复技术国家工程实验室,北京 100012 ;3:华北科技学院应急技术与管理学院,廊坊 065201 ;4:河北省多场景水害链生事故智慧应急技术创新中心,廊坊 065201 ;5:北京正和恒基滨水生态环境治理股份有限公司,北京 100085

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中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项(2023YSKY-06,2024YSKY-16)、中央高校基本科研业务费专项基金项目(3142021002,3142023017)、河北省廊坊市科技支撑计划项目(2024013020, 2024013033, 2023013101)和长江生态环境保护修复岳阳驻点跟踪研究项目(二期)(2022-LHYJ-02-0207-02)联合资助


The evolution characteristics and influencing factors of water quality in Lake Baiyangdian during 1992-2023
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1:State Key Laboratory of Environmental Criteria and Risk Assessment, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012 , P.R.China ;2:National Engineering Laboratory for Lake Pollution Control and Ecological Restoration, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Science, Beijing 100012 , P.R.China ;3:College of Emergency Technology and Management, North China Institute of Science & Technology, Langfang 065201 ,P.R.China ;4:Multi-scene Water Chain Accident Wisdom Emergency Technology Innovation Center of Hebei, Langfang 065201 , P.R.China ;5:Beijing Zhenghe Hengji Waterfront Ecological Environment Management Co., Ltd., Beijing 100085 , P.R.China

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    摘要:

    研究基于白洋淀5个站点近30年水质监测数据,运用多元统计分析方法,结合文献调研,系统揭示了白洋淀水质演变趋势、影响因素和控制对策。结果表明,(1)2005年和2015年前后为近30年白洋淀水质较差时段,2022-2023年淀区水质稳定在Ⅲ类,2023年水质为近30年最好水平,淀区主要污染指标为化学需氧量(COD)和总磷(TP)。(2)Mann-Kendall趋势检验结果显示,2009-2023年淀区COD、总氮(TN)和TP浓度均呈明显下降趋势,年变化速率分别为-0.611 mg/(L·a)(α=0.05)、-0.212 mg/(L·a)(α=0.01)和-0.013 mg/(L·a)(α=0.05)。(3)各站点水质指标空间上聚为3类,西部的南刘庄站点水质最差;富营养化指标可聚为2类,呈现出北部站点高于南部站点的特征;近年白洋淀整体为磷限制特征,但为氮污染型湖泊。(4)入淀水量和水位是近年影响白洋淀水质的关键因素;分区域看,西部南刘庄站点应重点关注外源输入,北部站点应重点降低TN浓度,南部站点应重点治理COD和TP污染。下一步,应进一步结合多站点多要素观测数据,应用水动力-水质耦合模型进行模拟溯源分析,多方位保障淀区水质综合决策,为生态补水和底泥等内源污染控制及流域协同污染治理提供支撑。

    Abstract:

    Based on the monitoring data of water quality at 5 stations in Lake Baiyangdian in the past 30 years, this study comprehensively applied multivariate statistical analysis methods and literature research to systematically reveal the trends of water quality evolution, influencing factors, and control measures in Lake Baiyangdian. Results showed that: ①The years 2005 and 2015 were the periods of poor water quality in Lake Baiyangdian over the past 30 years. From 2022 to 2023, the water quality of the lake area remained stable at Class Ⅲ, and by 2023, the water quality was at its best level over 30 years. The main pollution indicators in recent years have been COD and TP. ② From 2009 to 2023, the COD, TN, and TP concentrations in the Dianqu area were in significant downward trends, with an annual decrease rate of 0.611 mg/(L·a) (α=0.05), 0.212 mg/(L·a) (α=0.01), and 0.013 mg/(L·a) (α=0.05), respectively. ③The water quality indicators across various monitoring stations in Lake Baiyangdian could be spatially categorized into three groups, with the Nanliuzhuang station in the western region showing the poorest water quality. Eutrophication indicators were further classified into two categories, with northern sites exhibiting a higher nitrogen-to-phosphorus ratio than the southern sites. Over recent years, Lake Baiyangdian has become predominantly phosphorus-limited despite being a nitrogen-polluted system overall. ④The inflow and water level were the key factors affecting the water quality of Lake Baiyangdian in recent years. From a regional perspective, targeted management strategies were necessary for different areas of the lake. In the western region, particularly at the Nanliuzhuang site, efforts should focus on controlling external nutrient inputs. In the northern sites, priority should be given to reducing total nitrogen concentrations, while in the southern sites, the main focus should be on controlling chemical oxygen demand and total phosphorus levels. In the next step, the multi-site and multi-factor observation data should be further combined with the application of a hydrodynamic-water quality coupling model for simulation and traceability analysis, which can guarantee the comprehensive decision-making of water quality in Lake Baiyangdian, and provide support for the ecological water replenishment and the control of endogenous pollution such as substrate and humus, as well as the synergistic pollution management in the watershed.

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李琳琳,张瑞,苗飞虎,程兵芬,张玥,王永强,卢少勇,石祖秦.1992-2023年白洋淀水质变化特征及影响因素分析.湖泊科学,2025,37(6):1996-2008. DOI:10.18307/2025.0621

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  • 收稿日期:2024-11-18
  • 最后修改日期:2025-04-08
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-11-03
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