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引用本文:王建群,董增川.太湖流域平望水位和米市渡潮位过程预报研究.湖泊科学,2003,15(3):229-235. DOI:10.18307/2003.0306
WANG Jianqun,DONG Zengchuan.On the Forecasting of Pingwang Water Level and Mishidu Tide Level Hydrograph in Taihu Basin. J. Lake Sci.2003,15(3):229-235. DOI:10.18307/2003.0306
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太湖流域平望水位和米市渡潮位过程预报研究
王建群, 董增川
河海大学水资源环境学院, 南京 210098
摘要:
通过对太湖流域平望水位和米市渡潮位过程及其影响因子的研究,提出了潮位过程的平均潮位、潮差、潮位过程平移、潮位过程分解与重建等概念,并用简单实用的统计相关方法建立了平望水位和米市渡潮位过程预报模型;用1996-1999年汛期(5月1日-9月30日)的水文观测资料对所建立的模型进行了率定,率定结果表明,所建立的模型具有一定的预报精度、对太湖流域洪水预报调度具有重要的参考作用.
关键词:  水位  潮位过程  洪水预报  太湖流域
DOI:10.18307/2003.0306
分类号:
基金项目:
On the Forecasting of Pingwang Water Level and Mishidu Tide Level Hydrograph in Taihu Basin
WANG Jianqun, DONG Zengchuan
College of Water Resources and Environment, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, P. R. China
Abstract:
By studying on Pingwang water level and Mishidu tide level Hydrograph in Taihu Basin and their impacting factors, the concepts, ranges, moving and the decomposition as well as the reconstruction of the averaged tide level hydrograph are put forward. With the method of the statistics correlation, the forecasting models of the Pingwang water level and Mishidu tide level hydrograph are developed. Using the measuring data in flood season from 1996 to 1999, the forecasting model are calibrated, and the results of the calibrating are satisfactory. The methods proposed in this paper are useful to the flood forecasting and controlling in Taihu basin.
Key words:  Water level  tide level  flood forecasting  Taihu Basin
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